Dr. Karl on 2012
July 9, 2008
Dr. Karl S. Kruszelnicki is a media personality in Australia, holds four degrees, and has an uncanny ability to answer almost any general scientific question on the spot. This week his website deals with the 2012 question, and he concludes:
By the way, the time between 0.0.0.0.0 and 13.0.0.0.0 is about 5126 years. Now some Mayan archaeo-astronomers reckon that the calendar should reset back to zero and start again. But others disagree and say it should continue to 20, and then reset again.
We don’t have enough information to know who is correct - but if it does go up to 20, then this completely destroys the End of Days Conspiracy Theory, as far as the year 2012 is concerned. But let’s stick to the 13 Conspiracy for the time being.
The claims for 21 December 2012 cover a lot of ground. They range from ‘nuclear holocaust’ to ‘Harmonic Convergence of cosmic energy flowing through the earth, cleansing it and raising it to a higher level of vibration’, and along the way they include ‘the death of two-thirds of humanity’ and ‘the north and south poles will split’ - you get the picture.
But there are two problems with this.
First, when a calendar comes to the end of a cycle, it just rolls over into the next cycle. In our Western society, every year 31 December is followed, not by the End of the World, but by 1 January. So 13.0.0.0.0 in the Mayan calendar will be followed by 0.0.0.0.1 - or good-ol’ 22 December 2012, with only a few shopping days left to Christmas.
And the second problem is that it is always remarkably difficult to make predictions, especially about the future, and things that haven’t happened yet.
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